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2 pairs #807773
05/10/12 10:46 AM
05/10/12 10:46 AM
Joined: Nov 2000
Posts: 18,719
Ottawa Ontario Canada
CanukDenis Offline OP
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CanukDenis  Offline OP
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You're dealt 4 cards from a regular 52card deck.

What is the probability that you get 2 different pairs?

Different means (as example) that 2 pairs of 5's don't count.


I'm a man of few words, BUT I use 'em often!!
Re: 2 pairs [Re: CanukDenis] #807775
05/10/12 11:00 AM
05/10/12 11:00 AM
Joined: Jul 2002
Posts: 29,177
Unionville
manxman Offline
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0.0190


Sometimes lost is where you need to be. Just because you don't know your direction doesn't mean you don't have one.
Re: 2 pairs [Re: CanukDenis] #807782
05/10/12 11:20 AM
05/10/12 11:20 AM
Joined: Nov 2000
Posts: 18,719
Ottawa Ontario Canada
CanukDenis Offline OP
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Hmmm...I get 216/20825 = .010372...

How did you get your results?


I'm a man of few words, BUT I use 'em often!!
Re: 2 pairs [Re: CanukDenis] #807849
05/10/12 04:38 PM
05/10/12 04:38 PM
Joined: Jul 2002
Posts: 29,177
Unionville
manxman Offline
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I got 396/20825 by doing C(13,2)* C(12,2) divided by C(52,4) think


Sometimes lost is where you need to be. Just because you don't know your direction doesn't mean you don't have one.
Re: 2 pairs [Re: CanukDenis] #807890
05/10/12 07:51 PM
05/10/12 07:51 PM
Joined: Nov 2000
Posts: 18,719
Ottawa Ontario Canada
CanukDenis Offline OP
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Here's my reasoning. After 2 cards received:

got pair : prob 3/51 [case 1]
not pair : prob 48/51 [case 2]

[case 1]:
3rd card: 48/50 (you don't want the 2 that match your pair)
4th card: 3/49 (to match your 3rd)

[case 2]:
3rd card: 6/50 (to get a match with one of 1st two)
4th card: 3/49 (to match your 3rd)

SO:
[1] 3/51 * 48/50 * 3/49 + [2] 48/51 * 6/50 * 3/49 = 216/20825 = .010372148...

I ran a simulation (a million tries) which confirmed that.

Can you explain your C(13,2) and C(12,2)?


I'm a man of few words, BUT I use 'em often!!
Re: 2 pairs [Re: CanukDenis] #807929
05/11/12 12:06 AM
05/11/12 12:06 AM
Joined: Jul 2002
Posts: 29,177
Unionville
manxman Offline
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You are totally correct Denis. I was a tad bit hasty in my answer. It should be:
C(13,2)*C(4,2)*C(4,2)/C(52,4) where
C(13,2) is the number of possible differing pairs and C(4,2) is the number of possible pairs for the denomination.


Sometimes lost is where you need to be. Just because you don't know your direction doesn't mean you don't have one.
Re: 2 pairs [Re: CanukDenis] #807932
05/11/12 12:16 AM
05/11/12 12:16 AM
Joined: Nov 2000
Posts: 18,719
Ottawa Ontario Canada
CanukDenis Offline OP
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CanukDenis  Offline OP
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Yepper!


I'm a man of few words, BUT I use 'em often!!
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